Cuiaba EC MTvsGremio Novorizontino SP

The Battle of Resilience

As we look forward to the clash between Cuiabá EC MT and Grêmio Novorizontino SP, the stage is set for an intriguing encounter at the Arena Pantanal. Cuiabá, despite their recent 3-0 defeat to Internacional, have shown remarkable resilience at home, boasting three consecutive home victories and an unbeaten streak in their last eight matches. This fortress-like form at home is a testament to their ability to bounce back, and they will be eager to prove their mettle once again.

Cuiabá's Home Advantage

The Arena Pantanal has been a stronghold for Cuiabá, where they have not lost in their last seven home matches. Their ability to score consistently, having found the net in 13 of their 14 home games this season, is a significant advantage. Alisson Pelegrini Safira, their top scorer with nine goals, will be a key figure in their attacking lineup. The departure of veteran striker Deyverson might have been a blow, but the team has adapted well, with Matheus da Silva Duarte providing crucial assists.

Grêmio Novorizontino's Away Challenges

Grêmio Novorizontino, on the other hand, have been formidable in recent weeks, securing victories against top-tier teams like Palmeiras. However, their away form in the Brasileiro Serie B has been less convincing, with seven matches where they failed to score. Despite this, they have managed to score in their last six matches, indicating a potential shift in their attacking prowess. Nathan Uiliam Fogaca, with six goals, will be pivotal in their quest to break Cuiabá's home defense.

The Tactical Edge

Both teams have shown a penchant for scoring late goals, with 25% of their goals coming between the 76th and 90th minutes. This could lead to a thrilling finish, with both sides likely to find the back of the net. Cuiabá's ability to win when leading at home (75% success rate) gives them a tactical edge, especially if they can capitalize on early opportunities. Grêmio Novorizontino's past victory over Cuiabá, where they won by three goals, will be a psychological boost, but the current form and home advantage tilt the scales in favor of Cuiabá.

In conclusion, while Grêmio Novorizontino have shown they can compete with the best, Cuiabá's home form and resilience make them the favorites in this encounter. Expect a closely contested match with both teams likely to score, but Cuiabá should edge it with their home advantage.