Current Form and Team News
Olympique Marseille is currently navigating a challenging and inconsistent period in the Ligue 1 season. Under the management of Roberto De Zerbi, the team has been struggling to find a consistent rhythm, which has reflected in their recent results. Marseille is currently second in the Ligue 1 table, having played 19 matches with 11 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses. Their last outing was a disappointing 2-0 loss to Nice, highlighting the team's recent form issues. Despite this, Marseille has shown resilience, scoring an average of 2.15 goals per game across all their matches this season. In terms of team news, Marseille is dealing with several injuries that could impact their lineup. Amine Harit, a key attacking midfielder, has been sidelined due to an injury and recently suffered a setback in his recovery. Other notable absentees include Valentin Carboni, Faris Moumbagna, and defensive doubts such as Chancel Mbemba.
AS Monaco's Recent Surge
AS Monaco has been through a significant period over the past two weeks, marked by crucial victories and ongoing challenges. In their latest Ligue 1 match, Monaco secured a hard-fought 3-2 win against Rennes at the Stade Louis II. This victory was pivotal, as it boosted Monaco's push for Champions League qualification and lifted them provisionally to third place in the league. The match against Rennes was an entertaining contest, with Maghnes Akliouche opening the scoring with a breathtaking overhead kick in the 15th minute. Despite Aleksandr Golovin hitting the bar shortly after, Mahamadou Nagida equalized for Rennes in first-half stoppage time. However, Monaco regained the lead early in the second half through Mika Biereth, who scored his first goal since joining from Sturm Graz. Akliouche then set up Golovin for Monaco's third goal on 56 minutes, although Rennes managed to pull another goal back through Amine Gouiri.
Head-to-Head and Historical Insights
The most common result of matches between Olympique Marseille and AS Monaco when Olympique Marseille is playing at home is 2-1. Eight matches have ended with this result. During the last 32 meetings with Olympique Marseille playing at home, Olympique Marseille have won 14 times, there have been 12 draws while AS Monaco have won 6 times. The goal difference is 52-41 in favour of Olympique Marseille. Last season's matches ended 2-1 in favor of Marseille at home and 3-0 for Monaco at their home ground. Notably, both teams have a tendency to score late in the game, with Marseille scoring 29% of their goals between the 76th and 90th minutes, and Monaco scoring 31% in the same period.
Prediction and Conclusion
Considering the current form and historical data, Olympique Marseille has a slight edge playing at home, especially given their strong home record this season (5-2-0). Despite recent struggles, their ability to score consistently, coupled with Monaco's defensive vulnerabilities (highest red cards in the league), suggests that Marseille could edge this encounter. However, given both teams' scoring capabilities and recent high-scoring encounters, it is likely that both teams will find the net. Therefore, the prediction leans towards a home win with both teams to score.
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