RB Leipzig's Home Fortress
RB Leipzig, known for their dynamic play and often controversial presence in German football, are set to host VfL Wolfsburg at the Red Bull Arena. Leipzig's recent form has been a mixed bag, highlighted by a thrilling 3-3 draw against VfL Bochum where they squandered a 3-0 lead. This inconsistency, particularly in defense, has been a recurring theme, with 17 goals conceded in their last seven matches. However, their spirits were lifted by a significant 2-1 victory over Sporting Lisbon in the Champions League, marking their first win in the competition this season.
Wolfsburg's Struggles and Transfer Turmoil
VfL Wolfsburg, on the other hand, are navigating a turbulent period both on and off the pitch. Currently sitting in seventh place, their recent form has been inconsistent, with a 2-2 draw against Holstein Kiel in their last outing. Wolfsburg's matches have been high-scoring affairs, with over 67% seeing more than 2.5 goals. The team is also in the midst of significant transfer activity, with manager Ralph Hasenhüttl looking to offload several players, including Jonas Wind and Salih Özcan, who have expressed dissatisfaction with their playing time.
Head-to-Head and Historical Edge
Historically, RB Leipzig has had the upper hand in this fixture, especially at home. In the last 15 meetings at the Red Bull Arena, Leipzig has won nine times, with the most common scoreline being 2-0. Leipzig's home record this season is impressive, with seven wins out of ten matches, and they have scored in every home game. Conversely, Wolfsburg has struggled on the road, losing their last three away matches and failing to score in two of their ten away games this season.
Prediction and Key Factors
Given the current form and historical data, RB Leipzig is poised to capitalize on Wolfsburg's defensive vulnerabilities. Leipzig's ability to score consistently, coupled with Wolfsburg's tendency to concede, suggests a high-scoring encounter. Both teams are likely to find the net, but Leipzig's superior home form and recent head-to-head success give them the edge. Expect a home victory with both teams scoring.