Borussia Monchengladbach is heading into the upcoming clash against VfL Wolfsburg on a high note, unbeaten in their last 4 games, while their hosts have not managed to outscore them in their last 4 encounters. Here's a deep dive into the tale of the tape and a data-driven prediction for this Bundesliga clash.
The Recent Form Factor
Despite a better performance over the last five matches, VfL Wolfsburg remains in the middle of the Bundesliga standings. The home side hasn't tasted victory against Borussia Monchengladbach in their last four matches, making Monchengladbach's recent surge all the more impressive for the visiting side, coming into this match having lost none of their last five games in the league.
The Heat of the Home Advantage
Statistically speaking, VfL Wolfsburg shines at home when it comes to head-to-head matches, having won 15 out of 24 games. However, they've been less effective in recent years with their last home win against Borussia Monchengladbach dating back to 2019.
The Weight of Wisdom
The most common result of matches between these two sides, both home and away, has been 2-1, 7 matches have ended with this result. This could suggest a continuation of the trend with both teams demonstrating a well-matched offensive potency.
The Transfer Market Turbulence
While there's been some talk of dissatisfaction amongst the VfL Wolfsburg players, with Jonas Wind publicly complaining about his playing time, Borussia Monchengladbach appear stable with no major signings or losses during the January transfer window. Wolfsburg might be feeling the pressure especially when their top scorer, Wind (6 goals) is among the players potentially on their way out.
The Gritty Goal-getters
Both teams have a knack for scoring in the latter parts of the game, with Wolfsburg notably netting 28% of their goals between the 76th and 90th minute, and Monchengladbach scoring 32% of their goals between the 61st and 75th minute. This propensity for late goals could make for a thrilling closing stage of the match.
After running the numbers and considering the aforementioned factors, our team predicts a away win for Borussia Monchengladbach, with both teams likely to score, giving a combined result of 2-1.
Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburgvs
Borussia Monchengladbach
Bundesliga
Vavro, Denis
InjuredMissing
Bayern Munich
Borussia Dortmund
Bayer Leverkusen
RB Leipzig
TSG Hoffenheim
VfB Stuttgart
Eintracht Frankfurt
Union Berlin
SC Freiburg
Werder Bremen
1. FC Cologne
Borussia Monchengladbach
Hamburger SV
VfL Wolfsburg
FC Augsburg
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz
LaLiga
Premier League
Serie A
Liga Profesional
Brasileiro Serie A