SSC BarivsFrosinone Calcio

Bari's Resurgence Under Longo

SSC Bari has been a revelation this season under the guidance of coach Moreno Longo. After a tumultuous previous season, Bari has found stability and form, remaining undefeated for 83 days and 11 rounds in Serie B. This transformation is largely attributed to Longo's tactical acumen and the solidification of the squad, particularly in defense with Mantovani and Oliveri. The attacking partnership of Kevin Lasagna and Novakovich has also been instrumental, contributing to Bari's current sixth-place standing. The team has shown resilience, especially at home, where they have not lost in their last eight matches.

Frosinone's Struggles and Defensive Woes

Frosinone Calcio, on the other hand, has been grappling with inconsistency. Currently sitting in 19th place, their recent performances have been marred by defensive vulnerabilities, as evidenced by their 0-3 loss to FC Südtirol. Under coach Leandro Greco, Frosinone has struggled to find a winning formula, with a win rate of just 21.43%. Despite some glimpses of resilience, such as their draw against Modena, the team has been unable to string together consistent performances, particularly away from home.

Head-to-Head and Tactical Insights

Historically, Bari has had the upper hand in this fixture, especially at home, where they have won six of the last eight encounters against Frosinone. Bari's ability to score, particularly in the first half, could be pivotal, as they have scored in 32% of their matches during this period. Frosinone, while capable of scoring, has struggled to maintain leads, especially when trailing. The average goals per match between these two sides is 2.8, suggesting a likelihood of both teams finding the net.

Prediction and Conclusion

Given Bari's impressive home form and Frosinone's defensive frailties, the prediction leans towards a home victory for Bari. However, considering the historical goal-scoring trends and both teams' ability to score in the first half, it is likely that both teams will score. Bari's cohesive strategy and home advantage should see them through, but Frosinone's potential to score cannot be discounted.