Alianza AtleticovsFBC Melgar

Recent Form and Tactical Approaches

Alianza Atletico, under the guidance of coach Gerardo Ameli, has been struggling to find form in recent weeks. Their recent 0-1 loss to Universitario De Deportes highlights their ongoing challenges. The team has been employing a 5-4-1 formation, emphasizing a defensive strategy with a focus on counterattacks. This approach has been a double-edged sword, providing defensive solidity but limiting their attacking options. Despite these challenges, Alianza Atletico has not lost in their last seven home matches, showcasing their resilience at Estadio Campeones del 36.

FBC Melgar, on the other hand, is riding high on their recent performances in the Copa Sudamericana. Their recent match against Puerto Cabello was a testament to their tenacity on the road. With Pier Barrios in impressive form, scoring three goals in his last six matches, Melgar's defense has been a surprising source of goals. However, they have conceded in each of their last nine matches, indicating vulnerabilities that Alianza Atletico could exploit.

Head-to-Head Insights

Historically, Alianza Atletico has had the upper hand when playing at home against FBC Melgar, winning 11 out of 24 encounters. However, the recent head-to-head record slightly favors Melgar, who have won three of the last five meetings. The most common result between these two teams is a narrow 1-0 victory, which has occurred seven times. Alianza Atletico's home advantage is significant, as they have not lost to Melgar in their last five home encounters.

Key Players and Statistics

Alianza Atletico's Agustin Graneros is a key player to watch, having scored 16 goals this season. His partnership with Luis Olmedo, who has provided 12 assists, will be crucial in breaking down Melgar's defense. On the other side, Melgar's Lautaro Guzman and Cristian Bordacahar will be pivotal in their attacking efforts. Melgar's ability to win corners, having secured 39 in their last five matches, could be a decisive factor in this encounter.

Prediction and Betting Insight

Given the current form and historical data, a draw seems the most likely outcome. Both teams have shown the ability to score, and with Melgar's recent defensive lapses, it's probable that both teams will score. Alianza Atletico's strong home record and Melgar's recent away form suggest a tightly contested match. A fair betting odd for this outcome would be around 3.20 for the draw and 1.70 for both teams to score.