Alianza LimavsUTC de Cajamarca

Alianza Lima's Home Fortress

Alianza Lima has been a formidable force at home, boasting an impressive record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and just 1 loss this season. Their recent performances have been bolstered by the extension of Kevin Quevedo's contract, which has provided stability amidst interest from European clubs. With Paolo Guerrero in fine form, scoring three goals in the last five matches, Alianza Lima's attacking prowess is evident. Despite the absence of coach Nestor Gorosito due to an eight-match ban, the team has shown resilience, maintaining an unbeaten streak in their last four games.

UTC de Cajamarca's Struggles on the Road

UTC de Cajamarca, on the other hand, has faced challenges away from home, failing to score in 3 of their 8 away matches this season. Their recent victory against Deportivo Garcilaso was a morale booster, but their inconsistency remains a concern. The team has not won against Alianza Lima in their last five encounters, which includes four losses and a draw. Jarlin Quintero, their top scorer, will need to be at his best to break down Alianza Lima's defense.

Historical Edge for Alianza Lima

Historically, Alianza Lima has dominated this fixture, especially at home. They have won 9 of the last 15 home meetings against UTC de Cajamarca, with a goal difference of 19-9 in their favor. The most common result between these teams is a 1-0 victory for Alianza Lima, a scoreline that has occurred seven times. This historical dominance, coupled with their current form, suggests that Alianza Lima is well-positioned to secure another home victory.

Prediction and Key Factors

Given Alianza Lima's strong home record and UTC de Cajamarca's struggles on the road, the prediction leans towards a home win. Alianza Lima's ability to score consistently, having found the net in their last nine matches, contrasts with UTC de Cajamarca's difficulty in scoring away. Therefore, a 1-0 victory for Alianza Lima seems likely, with both teams not scoring.