Atletico GrauvsUTC de Cajamarca

Historical Dominance and Home Advantage

Atletico Grau's historical dominance over UTC de Cajamarca, particularly at home, is a significant factor in predicting the outcome of their upcoming clash. Atletico Grau has not lost to UTC de Cajamarca in their last five home encounters, winning three of these matches. The goal difference of 13-5 in favor of Atletico Grau during these meetings underscores their superiority. Furthermore, Atletico Grau's ability to score early, with 25% of their goals coming in the first 15 minutes, could set the tone for the match.

Current Form and Tactical Insights

Atletico Grau's recent form has been commendable, with a win over Comerciantes Unidos and draws against Los Chankas and Sporting Cristal. Under the guidance of coach Ángel Comizzo, the team has shown resilience and tactical flexibility. Key players like Rodrigo Vilca and Neri Bandiera have been instrumental in their recent performances. In contrast, UTC de Cajamarca's away form has been lackluster, failing to secure a win in their last seven away matches. Their recent victory against Deportivo Garcilaso was a morale booster, but their away struggles remain a concern.

Player Performances and Key Battles

The battle between Atletico Grau's Raul Mario Ruidiaz Misitich, who has netted 14 goals this season, and UTC de Cajamarca's Jarlin Medardo Quintero Leon, with 19 goals, will be pivotal. While Quintero Leon's scoring prowess is undeniable, UTC de Cajamarca's inability to score in three of their six away matches this season raises questions about their offensive consistency on the road.

Statistical Analysis and Prediction

Statistically, Atletico Grau averages 2.6 goals per match against UTC de Cajamarca, while the latter averages 1.2 goals. The average number of goals in their encounters is 3.8, suggesting a high-scoring affair. Given Atletico Grau's superior home record and UTC de Cajamarca's away struggles, a home win seems probable. However, considering both teams' scoring capabilities, it's likely that both teams will find the net. Therefore, the prediction is a home win with both teams scoring.