UD AlmeriavsTenerife CD

Current Form and Team News

UD Almeria, currently leading LaLiga 2, have been in impressive form, maintaining their position at the top of the table. Their recent goalless draw against SD Huesca was a minor setback, but it allowed them to keep their lead. The return of Luis Suarez, their top scorer with 27 goals, from suspension is a significant boost, although they will miss Gui Guedes, Baba, and Rachad due to injuries. Almeria's home form is particularly formidable, with six consecutive home wins and an unbeaten streak of 10 matches at home.

Tenerife CD, on the other hand, are struggling in 21st position, battling relegation. Their recent 2-2 draw against Zaragoza highlighted their inconsistency, with only three wins this season. Tenerife's away form is dismal, with just one win in 20 matches. They have failed to score in their last three matches, and their defensive frailties are evident, having conceded 1.33 goals per game on average.

Head-to-Head and Historical Context

The historical context between these two teams favors UD Almeria. In their last 28 meetings, Almeria has won 10 times compared to Tenerife's nine victories, with nine draws. Notably, Almeria has won all of their last five encounters against Tenerife, with Tenerife failing to score in these matches. At home, Almeria has a balanced record against Tenerife, with four wins, five draws, and four losses, but their current form suggests they are likely to improve this record.

Key Players and Tactical Insights

Luis Suarez is a pivotal figure for Almeria, not only as a top scorer but also as a key playmaker with eight assists. His presence on the field significantly enhances Almeria's attacking threat. Tenerife's Enric Gallego and Luismi Cruz have been their standout performers, but their contributions have been insufficient to change the team's fortunes. Tenerife's tendency to score late goals, with 29% coming between the 76th and 90th minutes, suggests they might try to exploit any lapses in concentration from Almeria.

Prediction and Betting Insight

Given the current form, head-to-head statistics, and player availability, UD Almeria is strongly favored to win this match. Their home advantage and Tenerife's poor away record further tilt the balance in Almeria's favor. The likelihood of both teams scoring is low, considering Tenerife's recent struggles in front of goal and Almeria's solid defensive record at home. Therefore, the prediction is a home win for UD Almeria, with both teams not scoring.