Atletico Madrid's Dominance at Home
Atletico Madrid, under the stewardship of Diego Simeone, continues to be a formidable force at the Wanda Metropolitano. The team has an impressive home record this season, boasting 8 wins, 1 draw, and no losses. Their recent form at home is nothing short of spectacular, with 12 consecutive home victories and an unbeaten streak of 17 matches. This fortress-like performance is bolstered by their ability to score early, with 26% of their goals coming in the first 15 minutes, the highest in La Liga.
Deportivo Alaves' Struggles on the Road
In stark contrast, Deportivo Alaves is grappling with a challenging season, particularly in away fixtures. They have lost their last 6 away matches in La Liga and have managed only 1 win in 9 away games this season. The absence of their first-choice goalkeeper, Antonio Sivera, due to injury, further complicates their defensive stability. Although the return of defender Garces is a positive development, his adaptation to La Liga's pace remains a question mark.
Head-to-Head Analysis
Historically, Atletico Madrid has dominated this fixture, especially at home. In their last 12 home encounters against Alaves, Atletico has emerged victorious 9 times, with only 1 loss. The most common scoreline in these meetings has been 1-0, favoring Atletico. Last season, Atletico secured a 2-1 home win against Alaves, a result that reflects their consistent superiority in this matchup.
Prediction and Tactical Outlook
Given Atletico Madrid's robust home form and Alaves' struggles on the road, a home victory seems the most likely outcome. Atletico's tactical discipline and ability to control games, especially in the first half, should see them through. While Alaves has shown some resilience, their inability to score in 5 of their 9 away matches this season suggests they might struggle to find the net. Therefore, a clean sheet for Atletico is a plausible scenario.
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