Deportivo Alaves: A Home Fortress
Deportivo Alaves, despite their struggles in La Liga, have shown resilience at home, particularly against Real Oviedo. Historically, Alaves have dominated this fixture at home, winning 5 of the last 6 encounters. This strong home record is a beacon of hope for a team currently battling relegation. The return of defender Garces is a timely boost to their defense, although the absence of goalkeeper Antonio Sivera due to injury is a significant blow. Jesus Owono will need to step up in goal, but Alaves' defensive structure at home remains robust.
Real Oviedo's Away Woes
Real Oviedo's away form has been dismal, with the team failing to win in their last 11 away matches and not scoring in their last 7. Their recent acquisition of players like Nacho Vidal and Paulino de la Fuente aims to bolster their squad, but the immediate impact remains uncertain. Oviedo's inability to find the net away from home is a glaring issue, compounded by their disciplinary problems, having received the most red cards in La Liga this season.
Key Players and Tactical Insights
For Alaves, Carlos Vicente Robles remains a key figure in attack, having scored 4 goals this season. His ability to exploit Oviedo's defensive frailties could be pivotal. On the other hand, Real Oviedo's Jose Salomon Rondon Gimenez, with 2 goals, will need to break his team's scoring drought to pose any threat. The tactical battle will likely see Alaves exploiting their home advantage, while Oviedo will need to tighten their defense and find a way to score.
Prediction and Betting Insights
Given the historical dominance of Alaves at home against Oviedo and the latter's poor away form, a home win seems the most likely outcome. The probability of both teams scoring is low, considering Oviedo's scoring struggles. Alaves' home advantage and Oviedo's away woes create a compelling case for a home victory without both teams scoring.