Getafe CFvsDeportivo Alaves

Match Context and Historical Insights

The upcoming clash between Getafe CF and Deportivo Alaves is set against a backdrop of historical dominance by Getafe, particularly when playing at home. Over the last 10 encounters at the Estadio Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe has emerged victorious four times, with five matches ending in a draw and Alaves managing just a single win. The goal difference of 16-7 in favor of Getafe underscores their home advantage. Historically, the most frequent result between these two sides is a 0-0 draw, occurring four times, which suggests a tendency towards low-scoring affairs.

Current Form and Tactical Analysis

Getafe CF currently sits in 16th place in La Liga, reflecting a season of mixed fortunes. Their recent 1-1 draw against Barcelona highlights their resilience against stronger opponents. With a record of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, Getafe has struggled to find the back of the net, averaging just 0.70 goals per game. However, their defensive solidity is notable, with clean sheets in 12 matches this season. Mauro Arambarri leads their scoring charts with 6 goals, indicating a reliance on a few key players for offensive output.

In contrast, Deportivo Alaves is languishing in 18th place, grappling with inconsistency. Their recent 1-3 loss to Real Betis exemplifies their defensive vulnerabilities, exacerbated by the absence of goalkeeper Antonio Sivera due to injury. Alaves has scored 24 goals this season, averaging 1.17 goals per match, but their defensive frailties have seen them concede 32 goals. The return of defender Garces could bolster their backline, yet his adaptation remains a question mark.

Key Player News and Impact

The absence of Alaves' goalkeeper Antonio Sivera is a significant blow, given his impressive record of 49 saves and three clean sheets in 18 appearances. His replacement, Jesus Owono, will need to step up in a high-pressure environment. For Getafe, Mauro Arambarri's form will be crucial, as his goals have been pivotal in securing points for the team. The tactical battle will likely hinge on Getafe's ability to exploit Alaves' defensive weaknesses while maintaining their own defensive discipline.

Prediction and Conclusion

Given the historical context, current form, and key player absences, Getafe CF is poised to capitalize on their home advantage. Their defensive resilience, coupled with Alaves' struggles and the absence of their first-choice goalkeeper, tilts the scales in favor of a Getafe victory. The likelihood of both teams scoring appears low, considering Getafe's defensive record and Alaves' recent offensive struggles. Therefore, the prediction is a home win for Getafe CF, with both teams not scoring.